UK house prices return to growth in September
UK house prices returned to growth last month, lender Nationwide reports this morning.
According to Nationwide, the average UK house price rose by 0.5% in September, having dropped by 0.1% in August, lifting the average price to £271,995.
On an annual basis, house prices rose by 2.2% in the year to September, up from 2.1% in August.
Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, says ‘supportive’ conditions for buyers are supporting the market:
“The broad stability in the annual rate of house price growth over the past three months mirrors that of activity. The number of mortgages approved for house purchase have been hovering at around 65,000 cases per month, close to the pre-pandemic average (despite the higher interest rate environment).
“Despite ongoing uncertainties in the global economy, underlying conditions for potential home buyers in the UK remain supportive.
“Unemployment is low, earnings are rising at a healthy pace, household balance sheets are strong and borrowing costs are likely to moderate a little further if Bank Rate is lowered in the coming quarters as we, and most other analysts, expect.
“Providing the broader economic recovery is maintained, housing market activity is likely to strengthen gradually in the quarters ahead.
Key events
UK house prices rise: what the experts say
Alice Haine, personal finance analyst at Bestinvest by Evelyn Partners:
“UK house prices returned to growth in September with a monthly uplift of 0.5%, after taking account of seasonal effects, despite the market showing signs of trepidation ahead of the Autumn Budget. Annual growth remained steady at 2.2% – a slightly higher pace of growth compared to last month, though the majority of regions saw a modest slowdown in annual house price growth in the three months to September.
“While buyers are gradually adjusting to the stamp duty changes introduced in April, when thresholds reverted to their previous, lower levels, a new wave of uncertainty is emerging around what property tax measures the Chancellor may target in her fiscal statement on November 26.
Jeremy Leaf, north London estate agent:
“As our supply of listings start to slow a little in response to worries about the Chancellor’s Budget intentions for property taxes so the pressure on prices has eased.
“As a result, with some values softening, still-motivated buyers are seeking to second-guess possible increased costs.
“Looking forward, low unemployment as well as earnings still rising faster than inflation and house prices overall means we can look forward to a relatively-strong bounce back once the uncertainty is over.”
Jason Tebb, president of OnTheMarket:
“While there is much uncertainty, not least surrounding the looming Budget at the end of November, the resilience of the market is remarkable. Activity is steady with focused buyers and sellers proceeding with their moves. Average prices are being held in check with buyers finding themselves in a strong position, which they are using to negotiate on price.
Five interest rate cuts since August 2004 have helped boost affordability, confidence and momentum. Even though September’s meeting of the Bank of England resulted in a hold rather than a further cut in rates, that stability enables buyers and sellers to plan ahead with some confidence.”
Housebuilder Taylor Wimpey reports drop in sales rate
Elsewhere in the property sector, UK homebuilder Taylor Wimpey has revealed its sales rate has slowed over the summer.
Taylor Wimpey has reported that in the nine weeks to 28 September 2025, its net private sales rate was 0.65 per outlet per week.
That’s slower than a year earlier (when it sold 0.7 homes per outlet per week), and below its sales rate for the year to date of 0.74 per outlet per week.
Taylor Wimpey points to “the backdrop of softer market conditions”, but insists that its expectations for full year operating profit are unchanged, adding:
While mindful of the various issues impacting customer sentiment and propensity to buy homes, including the impact of the delayed UK Budget on short term customer confidence, we remain well positioned and own all land with planning for 2026 completion.
[the autumn budget scheduled for 26 November isn’t ‘delayed’, exactly, just quite late in the year]
Southern England lags behind rest of the market
Nationwide also reports there was a modest slowdown in annual house price growth in the the majority of regions across the UK in the last quarter.
Northern Ireland remained the top performing area with annual house price growth of 9.6% in the July-September quarter, followed by Wales with 3.0% annual growth, Scotland with 2.9%, then England with 1.6%.
In @AskNationwide‘s latest house price index for September average house price growth nudged up by 0.5%. This made the average home now worth £271,995 according to their index. Once again Northern Ireland and the North continued to outperform the rest of the country boosting… pic.twitter.com/2BtQTx570e
— Emma Fildes (@emmafildes) October 1, 2025
Prices rose faster in Northern England than the South, Nationwide explains:
Average prices in Northern England (comprising North, North West, Yorkshire & The Humber, East Midlands and West Midlands) were up 3.4% year on year, with the North (which incorporates areas, such as Tyneside, Teesside and Cumbria) the top performing region in England – with prices up 5.1% year on year.
Meanwhile average house price growth in Southern England (South West, Outer South East, Outer Metropolitan, London and East Anglia) slowed to 0.7%. This was driven by a marked softening in price growth in Outer Metropolitan and Outer South East, the latter being the weakest performing region, with annual growth of 0.3% (down from 2.6% last quarter).
UK house prices return to growth in September
UK house prices returned to growth last month, lender Nationwide reports this morning.
According to Nationwide, the average UK house price rose by 0.5% in September, having dropped by 0.1% in August, lifting the average price to £271,995.
On an annual basis, house prices rose by 2.2% in the year to September, up from 2.1% in August.
Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, says ‘supportive’ conditions for buyers are supporting the market:
“The broad stability in the annual rate of house price growth over the past three months mirrors that of activity. The number of mortgages approved for house purchase have been hovering at around 65,000 cases per month, close to the pre-pandemic average (despite the higher interest rate environment).
“Despite ongoing uncertainties in the global economy, underlying conditions for potential home buyers in the UK remain supportive.
“Unemployment is low, earnings are rising at a healthy pace, household balance sheets are strong and borrowing costs are likely to moderate a little further if Bank Rate is lowered in the coming quarters as we, and most other analysts, expect.
“Providing the broader economic recovery is maintained, housing market activity is likely to strengthen gradually in the quarters ahead.
Introduction: Markets put strong September behind them
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.
It’s a new month in the markets, as investors shuffle nervously into the final quarter of the year.
September, often a weak month in the markets, was surprisingly strong this year despite anxiety that the artificial intelligence boom had run too high. Global stocks climbed by 3.5%, their best September since 2013, while the US S&P 500 share index had its best September in fifteen years.
Britain’s FTSE 100 joined the party, hitting a record closing high of 9350 points last night.
October is starting with the news that the US government is in shutdown, after Republicans and Democrats failed to agree a funding plan for federal departments.
Investors don’t seem too alarmed yet, probably remembering that previous shutdown have been resolved fairly quickly. However, they will be deprived of US economic data until the situation is resolved.
The uncertainty appears to be weighing on the US dollar. The dollar index has slipped to a one-week low, lifting the pound by 0.15% to $1.345. The euro has also strengthened.
Gold, which doesn’t need any excuse to rise this year, has hit a new record high of $3,875 early this morning as the shutdown loomed.
Typically, “a shutdown is immaterial for markets”, points out Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at capital.com, adding:
In fact, the 2018-2019 shutdown, which lasted for over a month, actually saw Wall Street rise. The issue for markets here is twofold.
One, it could delay the release of Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls data, which is going to be a nuisance, if nothing else, especially as market participants search for insights on the health of an ailing US labour market.
US President Trump has also threatened to permanently lay-off workers, which could turn the shutdown into a mini labour market shock.
The agenda
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7am BST: Nationwide’s UK house price index
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9am BST: Eurozone manufacturing PMI report for September
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9.30am BST: UK manufacturing PMI report for September
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10am BST: Eurozone inflation report for September